Although he says the worst is over, Baily says the banking crisis is not.

尽管贝利称最糟糕的情况已经过去了，但是他说银行业的危机还没有结束。

While some economists predict continued recovery in the future, Baily says the only certainty is that banks are unlikely to make the same mistakes twice.

尽管一些经济学家预计银行业会在未来持续复苏，但是贝利说我们唯一能确定的是银行不太可能再犯同样的错误。

Then comes the final stages in which the sun will grow a crescent on the opposite side of the Baily's Beads which once had shone.

接下来是最后一个阶段，在此阶段太阳会从之前出现贝利珠的相反侧出现新月。

If the economy starts to shrink again, Baily says it would make a strong case for a second stimulus --- something the Obama administration hopeswill not be necessary.

如果经济再次开始萎缩， Baily 表示， 这将为第二次刺激提供有力的理由—— 奥巴马政府希望这种刺激没有必要。