圣彼得堡悖论 St. Petersburg paradox
(重定向自Petersburg paradox)
圣彼得堡悖论是决策论中的一个悖论,由尼古拉一世·伯努利提出。1738年,丹尼尔·伯努利以效用理论来解答这个问题,因此形成预期效用理论。
单词 | Petersburg paradox |
释义 |
Petersburg paradox
中文百科
圣彼得堡悖论 St. Petersburg paradox(重定向自Petersburg paradox)
圣彼得堡悖论是决策论中的一个悖论,由尼古拉一世·伯努利提出。1738年,丹尼尔·伯努利以效用理论来解答这个问题,因此形成预期效用理论。
英语百科
St. Petersburg paradox 圣彼得堡悖论(重定向自Petersburg paradox)
The St. Petersburg paradox or St. Petersburg lottery is a paradox related to probability and decision theory in economics. It is based on a particular (theoretical) lottery game that leads to a random variable with infinite expected value (i.e., infinite expected payoff) but nevertheless seems to be worth only a very small amount to the participants. The St. Petersburg paradox is a situation where a naive decision criterion which takes only the expected value into account predicts a course of action that presumably no actual person would be willing to take. Several resolutions are possible. |
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