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单词 Petersburg paradox
释义

Petersburg paradox

中文百科

圣彼得堡悖论 St. Petersburg paradox

(重定向自Petersburg paradox)

圣彼得堡悖论是决策论中的一个悖论,由尼古拉一世·伯努利提出。1738年,丹尼尔·伯努利以效用理论来解答这个问题,因此形成预期效用理论。

英语百科

St. Petersburg paradox 圣彼得堡悖论

(重定向自Petersburg paradox)

The St. Petersburg paradox or St. Petersburg lottery is a paradox related to probability and decision theory in economics. It is based on a particular (theoretical) lottery game that leads to a random variable with infinite expected value (i.e., infinite expected payoff) but nevertheless seems to be worth only a very small amount to the participants. The St. Petersburg paradox is a situation where a naive decision criterion which takes only the expected value into account predicts a course of action that presumably no actual person would be willing to take. Several resolutions are possible.

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更新时间:2025/6/17 16:02:25