In this case they're equally probable and that's where I got the 2.5 from.

在这种情况下，它们的可能性相同，这就是我从中得到 2.5 的地方。

That he would be successful in an original way, or that he would go to the dogs in an original way, seemed equally probable.

他以独特的方式取得成功，或者同样地以独特的方式一败涂地。

Nor can we rationalise our behaviour by arguing that to a man in a state of ignorance errors in either direction are equally probable, so that there remains a mean actuarial expectation based on equi-probabilities.

我们也不能通过争辩说对于一个处于无知状态的人来说，任何一个方向的错误都是同样可能的，从而使我们的行为合理化，因此仍然存在基于等概率的平均精算期望。